Sweaters or Shorts? Alabama’s Fall 2026 Forecast Is In

Fall officially kicked off several days ago, but honestly, it hasn’t quite felt like fall yet. Well, except for the mornings. Those have been absolutely enjoyable and have given us just a little taste of the season.

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The Fall 2026 weather predictions from The Old Farmer’s Almanac are in. My family swears by their guidance for just about everything related to farm life for generations, so naturally, I inherited that same belief system right along with it; maybe that’s why I’m a weather nerd.

For Alabama, the overall feeling of Fall is shaping up to be warm and dry, like most of the country. However, The Old Farmer’s Almanac said to expect “a cooler- and drier-than-average September will be followed by an October expected to be 2°F warmer than average with near-average rainfall.”

The National Weather Service is also forecasting a warmer-than-normal October, November, and December for Alabama, with the entire state facing a “33-40%” chance of above-normal temperatures.

When it comes to precipitation, however, the outlook shifts slightly. The National Weather Service’s Seasonal Precipitation Outlook for October, November, and December calls for above-normal precipitation across the entire state.

Northern Alabama is in the “33-40%” range for above-normal precipitation, while the middle portion of the state, including West Alabama, falls in the “40-50% range. Southern Alabama likelihood increases for above-normal precipitation due to its “50-60% chance.”

I think we’ll have to wait and see how everything pans out weather-wise, but I was really hoping for a cooler fall season this year, especially after the brutal summer we’ve had.

Mary K – Weather Forecaster